Plenty useful. Most people don't get that. If the model is a worst case scenario, it is useful for scaring you to mitigate it down to 1% of what it could have otherwise been.
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Confidence levels mean nothing with so many unknowns.
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The model was not accurate or useful.
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Sure it was... It said if you didn't do anything, a lot more people would die...
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I was thinking about the Same. What happens in November in your model. Just want to check against mine. ?
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My gut feeling is the prediction models have a better accuracy track record than he has:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tell_Your_Children:_The_Truth_About_Marijuana,_Mental_Illness_and_Violence …
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