Math quiz: A hospital has 2,200 ventilators available, and expects 350 will be needed each day this week. The average patient uses a ventilator for seven days. How many days of ventilator supply does the hospital have under these assumptions? #coronavirus #ventilators
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85% of those put on vents from COVID die, which is why Italy can make that ethics choice in somewhat good conscious.
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What's the point of stating the avarange of 7 days, if you say "some come of earlier, some die..." it doesn't change that at average a ventilator is needed for 7 days per patient.
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Early days maybe even more, but now we're actually testing a few people and catching them earlier. I'd guess mortality buys you another day or two max in New York right now if that's not factored in the ventilator average.
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Most recent study from I have UK with half-decent n. Two more days. https://www.icnarc.org/DataServices/Attachments/Download/b5f59585-5870-ea11-9124-00505601089b …pic.twitter.com/0AoaHwGBhJ
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Probably higher. In one hospital in Italy (just as a single example), 31 out of 32 patients that needed ventilators died anyway; mostly because they were over 80 and had serious respiratory problems before they contracted the virus.
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Once on a vent, 15% chance of recovery.
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need to take into account also how many vent outlets a hospital room has. they were designed in a way that does not take high demand into account.
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Scott my Dad was once on a vent for almost 2 weeks. The docs at the time said they had to wean him off bc recovery chances starts compromising if the patient is on too long. It makes it more difficult for the body to resume its own function.
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My niece died on day 5
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