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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 31 Mar 2020

      Well, virus prediction modeling just lost all credibility. But maybe only because of the way it was explained to the public? 🤔

      451 replies 401 retweets 2,440 likes
    2. Marc Cavallero‏ @MarcCavallero 31 Mar 2020
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      No, they literally have 0 assumptions for pop density and public transport use. Using ny and Italy and just straight lining it, the range is probably WAY wider than what they are showing

      11 replies 16 retweets 206 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 31 Mar 2020
      Replying to @MarcCavallero

      Yes

      3:35 PM - 31 Mar 2020
      • 2 Retweets
      • 80 Likes
      • Thane of Cordour Popular Mechanic andrew Lsaurus Tim Youngblood Chris Sack Rob Hawkins 🇺🇸 Chesty Puller's Ghost 🇺🇲 🧠✋🏻🥓🙏🏼👁❤️
      8 replies 2 retweets 80 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Chet Dagit‏ @ChetDagit 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @MarcCavallero

          I’m guessing much wider on the under. All municipalities are now sanitizing public transportation, no one is using it unless they absolutely have to. NYC didn’t see this coming so they celebrated Chinese New Year New Orleans didn’t see it coming so they held a normal Mardi Gras

          7 replies 2 retweets 33 likes
        3. Marc Cavallero‏ @MarcCavallero 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @ChetDagit @ScottAdamsSays

          We can hope, could be way higher too if they arent factoring in how obese some areas of the country are too

          1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. CincyGuy2009‏ @CGuy2009 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @MarcCavallero

          They should just compare NY to lambardy Which is the place in Italy that has been blasted. Similar population and density.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Marc Cavallero‏ @MarcCavallero 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @CGuy2009 @ScottAdamsSays

          They might be but the 26 page model is not clear. There is no r0 per state and they dont show their work clearly. Maybe amongst the model community it is but I cant see it in their paper

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Jw8c 🧢 💀 ⚡️‏ @jw8c 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @MarcCavallero

          But they’re trying (rightfully?) to scare the public into social distancing

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Marc Cavallero‏ @MarcCavallero 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @jw8c @ScottAdamsSays

          No, I think it's the best model they have. I am just saying that the range lower and higher is probably way wider based on the fact that it doesnt account for some of the most important aspects of transmissability

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
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        2. John Smith‏ @Ne0nSpektrum 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @backsasscryer @ScottAdamsSays @MarcCavallero

          Do tell!

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Show replies
        1. Firesign58‏ @firesign58 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @MarcCavallero

          Public transport use is key — as is population density — unbelievable those are left out.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Marc Cavallero‏ @MarcCavallero 31 Mar 2020
          Replying to @goodisuniversal @ScottAdamsSays

          Yep, it's just that it wasn't a factor in this model. They explicitly say it. I am hopeful that means way less deaths in large swaths of the country due to social distancing, but we will see

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation

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