If you see a 200-foot high tsunami heading toward you on the beach, would you conclude that it is a hoax because you are still dry? Discuss.
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You "see" it coming based on empirical data we already have, small but growing wave. You can measure its growth, speed and direction ("complex analytical model") and determine it's headed your way & will be larger when it gets there. What's to be skeptical about? Honest question
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"Excess mortality" is the serious answer. We all know the virus is real and serious. The hoax is in the prediction that it will cause excess mortality at such a rate that justifies panicking the entire population, and make bad, rushed decisions that will do more harm than good
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Because I know people are taking defensive measures, myself included. I think anything that is too bad to be true probably isn't.
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Good God, Scott. Even the hysterical modelers have pulled back. At some point doesn't the data matter to you.
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We watch 1000 ppl a day die from the flu without a flinch.... js
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I hear all these ppl say 'Covid is so much worse than any flu'. I ask what their standard of judging 'worse' is, and they reply with some epidemiology term that we don't even have any reliable or complete data on yet. Excess mortality is the only measure that matters.
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The experts’ models are falling apart
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It's a hypothetical question. My answer is that we are being told it's a 200 ft wave, but is it really? Where has it killed millions? Where has it caused excess mortality even? If your assumption is it is already proven to be the spanish flu, then there's nothing to discuss
End of conversation
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If you are asking me, yes, I saw it coming and have been in isolation for many weeks, because I am in the higher risk category. My behaviour leads me to think many other at risk people are taking extreme precautions, which will lead to far fewer deaths than predicted.
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