Here’s my paper products resupply estimate:
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Assuming stores put per-person limits on new supply, which is happening at Costco for example, you should see paper products appear one month after shortages became widespread.
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Factor in the suppliers working double time to meet demand, and no traffic to slow trucks doing shipping. How much toilet paper is made in this country?
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Are the paper goods manufacturers handicapped by materials shortages? Fact check me, but I don’t see how.
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Can the entire supply chain for paper goods operate under current government restrictions? I’m guessing toilet paper is essential but not paper plates? Need fact-check.
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Factor in the insider hoarding on the first week of resupply. Those trucks will be empty before hitting stores. But that insider demand will be filled in a week, or better controlled.
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Check my facts and assumptions and tell me your guess.
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End of conversation
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My gut says three months. A 24 roll pack keeps our 9-person household covered for at least a month. People were buying multiples of those.
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We started this corn-teen with 14 rolls. We're at 11 now.
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Many who bought to profit are sitting on their supply's since most are being shut down....we are seeing restocking on stuff just not a lot back yet here
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I think you're spot on there. Here's my spitballing on that: A typical person keeps a single "chunk" of paper goods of each type. Depending on family size, a chunk might be twelve rolls of TP, for example. That would last 3-6 weeks for a single person or pair, call it
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a month's supply for that house. Larger families might get the 24 pack, and might buy two of them, but it's still about a month worth I'd expect, unless they are buying on special. and their purchases are spread, so, for average, sitting in each house is an average of
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