A hospital simply being over-capacity would not signal pandemic-as-plague. "In recent flu seasons, hospital emergency departments have reached their limits and that there is little room for a surge in patients in either emergency rooms or inpatient beds."https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1936949/ …
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Counterpoint: countries that are not employing shutdowns are seeing comparable declines in the rate of hospitalization/death once past the 1st 30 days of the virus, and data examined from China suggested social distancing not necessarily effective in containing spread.
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How do we know when the virus first began circulating in the US?
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I imagined that there wouldn't be a great depression and 30% unemployment with business as usual.
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A shutdown will result in an economic collapse.
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The one positive about coronavirus is that it has definitely put a fork in the idea of government run healthcare for the foreseeable future
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