Everyone in media should read this until they understand it. Compared to what? by Heather Mac Donald | The New Criterionhttps://newcriterion.com/blogs/dispatch/compared-to-what …
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The panic is misguided, everyone is crying about testing when the real thing we should be doing is preparing extra hospital beds and supplies.
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Fair point. But panic that destroys lives - unemployment, anxiety, economic loss...did we really win by creating excess panic? important to highlight Italy as potential scenario to generate urgency but not create undue panic by treating as base case!
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Treatment of the flu does not require Hazmat suits and the same kind of quarantine containment. Yes, this is different.
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If this panic spreads to the streets that will be 1,000x worse than extra busy hospitals for 2 weeks.
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1/3 Hospitals in Italy crashed when they were only at 1,000 severe cases. Many NYC area hospitals have always a 24-36 wait time for a bed. They are at the edge of crashing even pre-Corona. As such we should focus more to up access to care; not so much on shutting down!
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2/3 As of now, almost all press releases/statements/tweets is about shutting down. If they do that, we may anyway have loads of hospitalizations any day now since Corona is so contagious (that we just don't know yet the real numbers due to no testing). But if the focus is more on
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You're so confident in your ability to predict the future. Even if your prediction doesn't happen, you already believe that what you're pushing changed the future. This would prove that you're right, even though it can't be proven since we can only experience one reality.
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Scott - Italy was hot because of this: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/04/16/the-chinese-workers-who-assemble-designer-bags-in-tuscany?irclickid=WzB1L51jPxyOUwSwUx0Mo34BUknSSh2BT2zK2o0&irgwc=1&source=affiliate_impactpmx_12f6tote_desktop_adgoal%20GmbH&utm_source=impact-affiliate&utm_medium=123201&utm_campaign=impact&utm_content=Online%20Tracking%20Link&utm_brand=tny … Multiple "sparks" because of direct flights to the Wuhan region.
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