The official mortality rate is 17%. That's down from their earlier reported number of 25%. Or as they put it, five times more people are cured than die. I have no idea if China is under reporting the threat or not. I just know what their official channels report.
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Source?
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Robert Lawton Retweeted Lijian Zhao 赵立坚
Robert Lawton added,
Lijian Zhao 赵立坚Verified account @zlj5171.Breaking: As of 13 Feb, there were 55748 confirmed cases(10204 severe), 10109 suspected cases in China. Total confirmed cases were 63851(1380 fatal,6723 cured). 493067 people were traced,177984 are under observation. The number of cured cases is 5 times than that of fatal ones.Show this thread1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Confusing. I can't get out of that what you got.
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When the disease has run its course, a person is either dead or cured, right? If they are still sick, we just don't know how they'll turn out. Mr. Zhao reports 5 cured for every 1 death. That's a mortality rate of 1 in 6 cases. That's 16.7777%. I rounded up.
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Replying to @Rklawton @ScottAdamsSays and
Oh, one other thing. The Chinese switched their counting methodology in the last few days. Before the switch, the mortality rate was 25%. The new methodology requires only a clinical diagnosis. Before that, they tested for the virus itself.
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Doesn't that ignore all the not-yet-cureds? I don't see how you can calculate anything useful from just the cured and fatals in the short run. (Long run, yes.)
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This Tweet is unavailable.
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Would they report that analogies never work in this context?
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I was hoping it might serve to help illuminate the previous point. I can delete the Tweet if it's just muddying up the thread. Recommendation?
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I can't see it adding. But that could just be me.
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I prefer relying on your experience.
0 replies 0 retweets 1 likeThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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