PREMIERE 8pm ET: https://ept.ms/2UZadAK
“All the crematoriums of Hubei are backed up & cannot take bodies."
ATL
Having reported in over 30 epidemic zones, @Laurie_Garrett breaks down the tough realities of #coronavirus, possibility of a global pandemic & how to stay safe.pic.twitter.com/juhMjtr37h
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What variable is missing?
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The outcome of the currently sick, or the average number of days to death or cure.
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You are right. Bear in mind that population mortality and mortality rate of an illness are two different statistics. I'm not suggesting that 17% of the population will die - "just" 17% of those diagnosed. Hopefully this virus doesn't spread easily. However, info coming from...
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Calculating, yes. Estimating, no. We don't need a precise rate to evaluate the threat and formulate an appropriate response.
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