PREMIERE 8pm ET: https://ept.ms/2UZadAK
“All the crematoriums of Hubei are backed up & cannot take bodies."
ATL
Having reported in over 30 epidemic zones, @Laurie_Garrett breaks down the tough realities of #coronavirus, possibility of a global pandemic & how to stay safe.pic.twitter.com/juhMjtr37h
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It definitely ignores the not-yets. And that's because we don't know how they'll go. Some will live, some won't. Of those who have gone through the process to either death or recovery, we know that 1 in 6 die, and 5 in 6 live. If we knew more about when people died...
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... e.g. everyone who dies, dies on day two, then we could extend the calculations to the group of sick people, too (assuming we knew how long they'd been sick). However, we don't have that information. We do, though, know how many have completed the process and their rates.
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You can't and also, they die from secondary causes anyway. nCoV aggravates bacterial pneumonia and other complications. An 11 million resident city has the capacity to deal with at least 110,000 deaths a year. 1.000 deaths shouldn't overwhelm the system.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Would they report that analogies never work in this context?
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