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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 7 Nov 2019

      Obvious flaw? If that were the case, he could explain it.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    2. This Tweet is unavailable.
    3. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 8 Nov 2019

      Replacing bad data with good data doesn't make the data better?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Art Kilner‏ @RamblingAK 8 Nov 2019
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @nntaleb @normonics

      Makes the data better, yes. But whatever predictions that failed made on the bad data are NOT validated by the corrected data. Because the entire search for corrections was made (or could have been) because of the failed prediction. Analogy: your prediction WRT Kamala Harris.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 8 Nov 2019
      Replying to @RamblingAK @nntaleb @normonics

      Explain why it matters what prompted you to improve the data.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Art Kilner‏ @RamblingAK 8 Nov 2019
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @nntaleb @normonics

      I'll try. But before I start I'll point out that the fact that you need an explanation (unless your question was rhetorical) demonstrates that you don't really understand science. Science depends on prediction to validate theory (or hypothesis, or paradigm). When you use... 1/4

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Art Kilner‏ @RamblingAK 8 Nov 2019
      Replying to @RamblingAK @ScottAdamsSays and

      ...Theory on available data to make a prediction, and the prediction turns out correct, you have (partially) validated the theory. If the prediction isn't correct, or correct enough, and you respond by looking for flaws in the data, and find and correct them,... 2/4

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Art Kilner‏ @RamblingAK 8 Nov 2019
      Replying to @RamblingAK @ScottAdamsSays and

      The fact that the prediction is now correct based on ADJUSTED data no longer validates the theory. Science is mostly about developing and "proving" theories that explain how the universe works. An experiment where the theory failed, and the data was corrected,... 3/4

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Art Kilner‏ @RamblingAK 8 Nov 2019
      Replying to @RamblingAK @ScottAdamsSays and

      ...To make it work, does not validate the theory. Thus, by correcting the data, they have invalidated all their efforts to use it to "prove" the current theory. Corrections may be right (IMO they are), but the strength of the theory is enormously weakened. 4/4

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Art Kilner‏ @RamblingAK 8 Nov 2019
      Replying to @RamblingAK @ScottAdamsSays and

      P.S. They found flaws because they were looking for them. There may well be other flaws that haven't been found because nobody looked for them, because "predictions" made on the adjusted data now seem to (partially) validate the current theory.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 8 Nov 2019
      Replying to @RamblingAK @nntaleb @normonics

      You had to change my example from correcting data to NOT correcting data to make your case. I agree with you that the opposite of my point is a bad argument.

      5:27 AM - 8 Nov 2019
      • 1 Like
      • Kevin Watson
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Matias Volco‏ @MatiasVolco 8 Nov 2019
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @RamblingAK and

          Shoukd we begin the percolating or is it way too early

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Art Kilner‏ @RamblingAK 8 Nov 2019
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @nntaleb @normonics

          No, your example (I assume) involved correcting temperature data, because the original failed to validate the CO2-warming theory. The corrected data does not validate the theory, because the search for flaws was stimulated by the failure of the original data to validate.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Matias Volco‏ @MatiasVolco 8 Nov 2019
          Replying to @RamblingAK @ScottAdamsSays and

          Science doesn t care why you introduced more data points

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

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