I think if you could go back in time and ask Eliezer-2005 which was more probable, "Donald Trump elected President" or "Danish mortgages with -0.28% interest rates", Eliezer-2005 would answer that both were "won't happen" events but the -0.28% mortgage violated stronger rules.
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Translation: Scott’s Cognitive dissonance on display.
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Not necessarily. Hear the guy out. Cognitive dissonance usually involves a more outlandish reaction and some mind reading type reasoning..
End of conversation
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