My first interest back when I first started studying physical geography was weather, meteorology. Models are great for predicting weather, sometimes. And they have improved, sometimes being correct many days out. We see models predict storms a week before they form sometimes.
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Replying to @NickMcGinley1 @MassiMassian and
But they often fail, although these failures, like getting snow storms wring, are usually just a matter of small changes in the path having a big effect on who gets snow, if anyone, or it all staying off the coast. It is more often the forecasters being overly confident in models
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Replying to @NickMcGinley1 @coristus and
By fine i mean they are not quackery, problems remain. We can be quite sure that they employ the best possible methods because of the financial interest behind them and they have improved their results being now as good for 5 days as they have been for 2 days in 1970.
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Replying to @MassiMassian @coristus and
I have no issue with models per se. It is the claims made by some of the people who are modelers that are highly problematic. To put it mildly. The issue is the effect of CO2 on the global average surface temp. I have seen and participated in discussions for many years. 1/
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Replying to @NickMcGinley1 @MassiMassian and
And during that time, I have participated and lurked in all manner of discussions on every subject there is. Among them have been many long and involved ones on the subject of radiative physics (and every other aspect) and how this applies to the atmosphere. 2/
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Replying to @SpringerWrites @NickMcGinley1 and
Oh really?
pic.twitter.com/Y2WRN5RCkB
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Replying to @DawnTJ90 @SpringerWrites and
For some reason
@ScottAdamsSays follows that person.3 replies 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @EcoSenseNow @DawnTJ90 and
Scott Adams said follow Dr. I. Blockem Kwickly? I cannot recall his real name since he blocked me. He has a pretty short fuse and some thin skin. I do not believe anything exactly like that has ever happened to me. He really rubbed me the wrong way by the end of the exchange.
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Incorrect. Have always been a non-alarmist because of the Adams Law of Slow-Moving Disasters. Also have never found predictions credible.
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