In 1841, Charles Mackay explained mass delusions and hysteria, like that which many people are currently experiencing over climate.
@News_O_Matic @ScottAdamsSayspic.twitter.com/MITQvwKQp5
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Predictions are not hysteria.
Predictions become hysteria when they are doled out to the masses as the consensus agreement of most experts, or even just a few.
Y2K, Ozone hole, Acid rain bad examples. Huge efforts implemented to mitigate/prevent, saying bad predictions is not up to your standards of analysis. Oil crisis was hysteria, sparked by supply manipulation not science, which actually provided the solution in out years.
Nonsense. Computers without fixes had no Y2K problems; the ozone hole is a natural phenomenon that continues today. Oil exhaustion was a failed prediction entirely irrelevant to the embargo crisis.
Trump losing election. Trump colluded with Russia. Trump impeached. Etc etc
Fifty years of failed apocalyptic forecasts https://realclimatescience.com/fifty-years-of-failed-apocalyptic-forecasts/ …pic.twitter.com/JYfJjAadxE
See, the difference is one scientist versus the collective understanding of (nearly) all scientists. I'll give you a lesson in 3rd grade scientific procedure that might help. First, a scientist develops a hypothesis. Second, they test that hypothesis with an experiment...
Clearly the logical flaw of looking for bad predictions as a proof point is being missed, as are predictions where mitigation was successful. So apparently predictions about nuclear weapons was wrong, because didn't come true? Those antibiotics just keep prescribing...
Tony will probably shoot me down on this but I don’t think Y2K belongs on that list. A huge amount of work was done to avoid that problem and the fact nothing happened has a lot to do with that.
I second that
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