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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @EcoSenseNow

      Everyone knows you can't predict the average temperature with precision a hundred years in the future. The alarmist argument is more along the lines of "every model shows dire temperature increases, so that much we know for sure." Except the Russian one, perhaps.

      14 replies 14 retweets 34 likes
    2. Patrick Moore‏ @EcoSenseNow 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      The point is, we can't "know" it for sure. As in "impossible" due to that pesky thing called chaos. Have you read "Chaos" by Gleick? Only the solar cycles offer some predictability in the short term. The Grand Solar Minimum hypothesis is gaining ground.

      6 replies 26 retweets 83 likes
    3. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @EcoSenseNow

      I did financial modeling for a living. You don't need to convince me that 80-year predictions are bullshit. But if EVERY model pointed to doom, albeit at different rates, that would concern me.

      20 replies 7 retweets 28 likes
    4. L. “Guapo” Jordan‏ @TheRealLeejo 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @EcoSenseNow

      @nntaleb suggests that we should avoid mistakes that might kill us. Whether all the models or none of the models predict disaster, who disagrees that more natural, clean, and efficient solutions aren't preferable, all things being equal? A lot of us just don't like being lied to.

      4 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @TheRealLeejo @EcoSenseNow

      That's a bad argument unless you only have one risk that can kill you or you have unlimited resources. If you have multiple extinction risks (which we do) and limited resources (as we do), you have to allocate resources across risks.

      2 replies 2 retweets 9 likes
    6. L. “Guapo” Jordan‏ @TheRealLeejo 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @EcoSenseNow

      We can't do any of that if we aren't being honest with each other about the risks or the resources. I'm not sure that's even possible given the subjective nature of reality you've discussed. Instead @nntaleb argues, I believe, that we deviate from natural solutions at our peril.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @TheRealLeejo @EcoSenseNow @nntaleb

      What does "deviate from natural solutions" mean? I prefer managing risk.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. L. “Guapo” Jordan‏ @TheRealLeejo 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @EcoSenseNow @nntaleb

      L. “Guapo” Jordan Retweeted

      Antifragile asserts that favoring nature manages risk by maximizing nature's inherent resiliency while minimizing exposure to black swan events. I think my initial point was misunderstood; simply, not supporting AGW theory <> drill baby drill. https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1105142188558745602 …

      L. “Guapo” Jordan added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. L. “Guapo” Jordan‏ @TheRealLeejo 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @TheRealLeejo @ScottAdamsSays and

      As you have discussed and as Mr. Moore shows here, the intensely political IPCC and "near-unanimous" climate scientists reliance on models, which they manipulate and discussion about which they shut down, undermines everything they claim to stand for because it destroys trust.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. L. “Guapo” Jordan‏ @TheRealLeejo 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @TheRealLeejo @ScottAdamsSays and

      Flip it - suppose the air were turning brown and 100% of the models predicted no cause for concern. Your original point that long-term models are unreliable would remain valid. My point that we should pollute as little as possible regardless of any model's prediction would too.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @TheRealLeejo @EcoSenseNow @nntaleb

      Is someone in favor of more pollution?

      10:31 AM - 20 Mar 2019
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. L. “Guapo” Jordan‏ @TheRealLeejo 20 Mar 2019
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @EcoSenseNow @nntaleb

          That’s an odd take, but I’ll play. I know I am. I’m going to be cranking my car up soon and my home furnace is running. I might even fart later. Why do you ask?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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