Scott Adams makes a new climate change challenge, and talks about Mr. Kellyanne Conway, and more. With coffee.https://www.pscp.tv/w/b2I-rTExODgwMjU5fDF5b0tNandMRUJPR1GKVJDjDD-pk57vPQ-9HXigLyNeCU58Y9WQUP0bxmhkKw== …
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We are IN AGW right now, the coral reef data is showing it. If what Michaels says is true then over the next decade the corals will recover and I will be happy to be wrong. I am looking at all the empirical evidence that AGW is already in play and increasing. But I will evaluate
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I will stipulate that warming is happening and that the coral reef's could be taking a hit. That doesn't address the question of the Russian model being the only accurate one.
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With the help of my friends, we will break down each of his points in the video and see where it lands based on current research.
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Re: "With the help of my friends" I've broken down this claim in detail elsewhere, though the post might be too long to be useful: …http://blamethenoctambulantjoycean.blogspot.com/2017/07/myth-santer-et-al-show-that-climate_28.html … The take-home message that the the comparison is invalid, due to errors in inputted forcings: https://pcmdi.llnl.gov/research/DandA/Synthetic%20Microwave%20Sounding%20Unit%20(MSU)%20temperatures/2017/Nature_Geoscience/NG_Fact_sheet_v3.pdf …pic.twitter.com/iKnM6FqmKF
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Coming doom is a human feature since at least 500 BC. So far 0 right predictions have occurred.
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Actually, if you look at several central/south american civs from the past, doom came, they exhausted the surrounding resources, and had to abandon their nice buildings and flee... on a global scale though, we have no where to run, we should be careful.
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Re: "Is it true or false" False. The main source for that (John Christy) is making long-debunked mistakes, with an invalid comparison. https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/918589327210315776 … https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/918591987875483650 … https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0333.1 …pic.twitter.com/GD1ZheXXdZ
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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You don't actually need climate-simulating computer models, you can estimate ECS (total warming from GHG changes) from past climate – e.g. energy budget looks to have changed by X W/m^2, how far did global temp shift? http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/08/the-co2-problem-in-6-easy-steps/ …
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That is still imprecise & leads to a range for ECS depending on method, but currently different atmospheric-ocean models can reproduce 20th century trends while having different emergent ECS values as well, so again a range. (But they all incorporate physics and project warming.)
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