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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 20 Mar 2019

      Scott Adams makes a new climate change challenge, and talks about Mr. Kellyanne Conway, and more. With coffee.https://www.pscp.tv/w/b2I-rTExODgwMjU5fDF5b0tNandMRUJPR1GKVJDjDD-pk57vPQ-9HXigLyNeCU58Y9WQUP0bxmhkKw== …

      36 replies 47 retweets 145 likes
    2. Jeff Segor‏ @JSegor 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      OK, here we go again, "it's the models" fallacies. I thought we already established you don't need models for AGW evidence. I guess we forgot what we learned. Here is probably the video Scott is referring to. Get out your debunking pencils:https://youtu.be/DOFoJo6zwEU 

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 20 Mar 2019
      Replying to @JSegor

      Everyone agrees you don't need models to find AGW evidence. But you do need models to predict (or size) the upcoming doom. Is it true or false that the only model that has matched recent temperature observations is the Russian model that predicts no big problem ahead?

      9:15 AM - 20 Mar 2019
      • 1 Retweet
      • 7 Likes
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      6 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jeff Segor‏ @JSegor 20 Mar 2019
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

          We are IN AGW right now, the coral reef data is showing it. If what Michaels says is true then over the next decade the corals will recover and I will be happy to be wrong. I am looking at all the empirical evidence that AGW is already in play and increasing. But I will evaluate

          3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 20 Mar 2019
          Replying to @JSegor

          I will stipulate that warming is happening and that the coral reef's could be taking a hit. That doesn't address the question of the Russian model being the only accurate one.

          2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Jeff Segor‏ @JSegor 20 Mar 2019
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

          With the help of my friends, we will break down each of his points in the video and see where it lands based on current research.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Atomsk's Sanakan‏ @AtomsksSanakan 20 Mar 2019
          Replying to @JSegor @ScottAdamsSays

          Re: "With the help of my friends" I've broken down this claim in detail elsewhere, though the post might be too long to be useful: …http://blamethenoctambulantjoycean.blogspot.com/2017/07/myth-santer-et-al-show-that-climate_28.html … The take-home message that the the comparison is invalid, due to errors in inputted forcings: https://pcmdi.llnl.gov/research/DandA/Synthetic%20Microwave%20Sounding%20Unit%20(MSU)%20temperatures/2017/Nature_Geoscience/NG_Fact_sheet_v3.pdf …pic.twitter.com/iKnM6FqmKF

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. chascow‏ @chascow 20 Mar 2019
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JSegor

          Coming doom is a human feature since at least 500 BC. So far 0 right predictions have occurred.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Emiliano Ricci‏ @repunck 20 Mar 2019
          Replying to @chascow @ScottAdamsSays @JSegor

          Actually, if you look at several central/south american civs from the past, doom came, they exhausted the surrounding resources, and had to abandon their nice buildings and flee... on a global scale though, we have no where to run, we should be careful.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Atomsk's Sanakan‏ @AtomsksSanakan 20 Mar 2019
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JSegor

          Re: "Is it true or false" False. The main source for that (John Christy) is making long-debunked mistakes, with an invalid comparison. https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/918589327210315776 … https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/918591987875483650 … https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0333.1 …pic.twitter.com/GD1ZheXXdZ

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 21 Mar 2019
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JSegor

          You don't actually need climate-simulating computer models, you can estimate ECS (total warming from GHG changes) from past climate – e.g. energy budget looks to have changed by X W/m^2, how far did global temp shift? http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/08/the-co2-problem-in-6-easy-steps/ …

          7 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 21 Mar 2019
          Replying to @geoffmprice @ScottAdamsSays @JSegor

          That is still imprecise & leads to a range for ECS depending on method, but currently different atmospheric-ocean models can reproduce 20th century trends while having different emergent ECS values as well, so again a range. (But they all incorporate physics and project warming.)

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies

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