Scott, You're practiced in dealing w/ the complexities of economic forecasts, so you're more able to understand this stuff, than you give yourself credit for. Have the confidence to employ your usual skeptical rules. ...Anthropogenic Climate Change shouldn't be exempt.https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1102991618276126720 …
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Replying to @Sparky52328656
Non-scientists can’t penetrate any of the climate change claims at a fact-checking level. It’s an illusion when people are sure they can.
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @Sparky52328656
I am currently tracking a variety of controversial science claims across numerous disciplines as a non-specialist layperson - and I can tell you which of them are panning out, and which are not. It's as simple, Scott, as monitoring which are getting vindicated over time.
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Realize that I've read numerous critiques of mainstream science, so that I can better understand the context. And I've also embedded myself into a group of against-the-mainstream theorists, so that I can witness the kinds of troubles firsthand that they've run into.
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I systematically seek out the best critiques that I can find, and I look for correspondences between critics. This is far more common than you are realizing. I try to avoid relying upon my gut instinct, as "system 1" (as Kahneman likes to call it) is not sufficient to judge.
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Perhaps after 12 years of doing this, I am no longer a non-specialist layperson (?). My hard drive is one huge repository of claims against mainstream science, and my bookshelves are stacked tall w all of the best critiques of academia.
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I've written an article detailing my process here: https://www.scientificexploration.org/edgescience/32 pic.twitter.com/lRrOkfvQD0
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What I have learned is that this is not rocket science. ANYBODY who wants to understand where science is heading can do this, given the full scope of information that is before you.
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If you are finding that you are unable to formulate confident judgments, after some time of paying attention, the problem is your process and/or focus.
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That’s the illusion
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Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @Sparky52328656
Controversies of Science Retweeted Controversies of Science
I can point you to very specific arguments which I've aggregated across numerous sources which are all saying the same thing - that TSI does not fully capture the Sun's energy transfer to Earth. The IPCC has left out the electric currents! See this:https://twitter.com/controscience/status/1102568523988008960 …
Controversies of Science added,
Controversies of Science @controscienceReplying to @nowthisnewsScience is still learning about what happens at the top of our atmosphere. For example, we can at this point plainly see that electric currents flow into and out of our climate system at the poles, but the IPCC does not yet incorporate this observation into their models. pic.twitter.com/YYmfDJUayH1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
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