@ScottAdamsSays With respect to “perpetual warming”, here’s a different angle. This paper explores what the climate might do if we burned *all* fossil fuels and put that carbon into the air (the carbon in the ground is limited): https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/26700/1/lent_06.pdf …
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To get over 1,000 ppm requires going beyond all known oil, gas, and coal into hypothetical exotic hydrocarbons like methane hydrate and potentially exhausting that, too. What I’ve also seen is that forest destruction is a big contributor, too, as is making cement for concrete.
End of conversation
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Summary: 6 scenarios into GENIE-1 model. Worst assume 4,000, 9213, & 15,000GtC in emissions (humans have caused ~450GtC so far). Current recoverable oil/gas/coal ~1,000GtC (total ~4,000GtC). Assumes exotics like methane hydrates could get total to 15,000GtC. (Results Next->)
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Continued: Results for 4,000GtC (all oil/gas/coal) is 6.3C-6.7C @ ~1,000ppm CO2. Results for 15,000GtC (going beyond oil/gas/coal) is 12.5C in ~1,000 years. Not great for many animals but around what it was for much of Earth’s history. At some point, we run out of carbon to burn.
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