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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
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@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Gregory Makles‏ @GregoryMakles 13 Jan 2019
      Replying to @GregoryMakles @geoffmprice and

      Then on the page that appears:pic.twitter.com/TzQsJs9I1b

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 13 Jan 2019
      Replying to @GregoryMakles @ScottAdamsSays and

      Dull scold. No, I wasn't looking for that. Subtracting adjustments from total measured warming isn't a "discrepancy". Of what? Asking you to explain yourself obviously triggers emotional response. No further interest in helping you untangle wtf you are trying to argue.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Gregory Makles‏ @GregoryMakles 13 Jan 2019
      Replying to @geoffmprice @ScottAdamsSays and

      451 with no latitute changes (and no related adjustment) shows slight cooling. 1200+ including those 451 shows 1.5 warming. 1.05 if you remove other potential bias. If you don't understand that it implies latitude adjustment produce a warming bias you're useless in the debate.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 13 Jan 2019
      Replying to @GregoryMakles @ScottAdamsSays and

      Raw for all US stations shows warming of about ~0.7°C. Adjustments roughly double this. So the bulk of your "implied" (not demonstrated) discrepancy appears simply that your sample is a very cool one relative to the entire raw population. No adjustments involved. Why?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 14 Jan 2019
      Replying to @geoffmprice @GregoryMakles and

      Ah lol, I read the original Heller link closely again. "cooling since the 1930’s increased when using a stable set of stations". So the 451 set still shows net warming, just *more* cooling (unquantified) in the raw since 1930s. Which is 100% expected given TOB period. 😂pic.twitter.com/4jjhZbnexH

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 14 Jan 2019
      Replying to @geoffmprice @GregoryMakles and

      Read it yourself. https://realclimatescience.com/2017/01/zeke-debunks-himself-twice/ … It is only "cooling" because he cherry picks the 30s spike as the trend start, and because we head right in the TOB bias (shifting stations from noon to dawn across the country, over decades), plus the other biases.

      4 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 14 Jan 2019
      Replying to @geoffmprice @GregoryMakles and

      Heller wasn't "testing relocation adjustments". Nor was the Zeke post he claimed to be replying to really about that. You'll notice that Heller didn't at all address the actual points Zeke made – try reading it. Just a classic Heller handwave. http://rankexploits.com/musings/2014/how-not-to-calculate-temperatures-part-3/ …

      4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Jeff Segor‏ @JSegor 14 Jan 2019
      Replying to @geoffmprice @GregoryMakles and

      The bad contrarian myths remind me of viruses. You have to create a new anti-virus for each myth. They pretend they are doing science but the logic falls apart. The tell is that they are not in scientific journals and never admit their mistakes.

      3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    9. Jeff Segor‏ @JSegor 14 Jan 2019
      Replying to @JSegor @geoffmprice and

      Again, this is all basic logic. But it is sometimes hard to get to the root of the myth if it is obscured in statistical fallacies. The Great Barrier Reef is still in jeopardy, and that is due to global warming oceans largely due to AGW. Oceans aren't even in this discussion.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 14 Jan 2019
      Replying to @JSegor @GregoryMakles and

      Geoff Price Retweeted Geoff Price

      It was if you go far enough up. :) Scott noted "skepticism" on coral, didn't clarify based on what. Greg tore off into false claims about sea level data (claimed three centuries of steady rise, no acceleration). Where we started.https://twitter.com/geoffmprice/status/1080886107577798656 …

      Geoff Price added,

      Geoff Price @geoffmprice
      Replying to @GregoryMakles @ianbrealey @ScottAdamsSays
      Heat stress bleaching is lab reproducible http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1046/j.1365-3040.1998.00345.x/full … And mass bleaching severity maps pretty exactly to prolonged elevated temperature above local threshold. http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0013969 … https://www.researchgate.net/publication/51560961_An_evaluation_of_the_effect_of_recent_temperature_variability_on_the_prediction_of_coral_bleaching_events … http://cnmicoralreef.com/uploads/cnmi/Images%20and%20documents%20for%20individual%20pages/Heron%20et%20al_2016_Validation%20of%20Reef-Scale%20Thermal%20Stress%20Satellie%20Products%20for%20Coral%20Bleaching%20Monitoring_Remote%20Sensing.pdf … http://www.nature.com/articles/nature21707.epdf … pic.twitter.com/y1YjgasXSS
      5 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 14 Jan 2019
      Replying to @geoffmprice @JSegor and

      I don't have link, but at least one expert I read says the bleaching is more from agricultural runoff, and also that coral routinely bleaches and recovers. I don't contend that view is credible. I wouldn't be able to judge.

      12:18 PM - 14 Jan 2019
      • 2 Likes
      • Kevin Watson Lunch77
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 14 Jan 2019
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @JSegor and

          Lots of factors have impacted reefs for sure. For mass *bleaching* as on the (giant) GBR & other reefs, lots of bleaching isfar from any runoff. Papers like this one showed the strong correlation with temp, found no correlation with water quality. http://www.nature.com/articles/nature21707.epdf …

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Geoff Price‏ @geoffmprice 14 Jan 2019
          Replying to @geoffmprice @ScottAdamsSays and

          I think the core of the resistance is around the claims that maybe this level of mass bleaching is normal. But physiologically we understand the cause (heat stress) clearly and predict it. Much several hundred year old coral specimens lost 2016-17 GBR. Proxy evidence supports etcpic.twitter.com/4g5JsQ8iRg

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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