No. @ScottAdamsSays makes the same mistake as Pinker. The 'world' is more at risk than ever before...even if only due to systemic/cascading effects #pseudostabilityhttps://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1078328558269825024 …
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it works both ways as you said!
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it both brings contagions and remedies faster - what will prevail? depends on the situation, no way to generalize
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@ScottAdamsSays you cannot BOTH believe the world is more connected a la T.Friedman (The World is Flat) but that systemic dynamics haven't increased. Interconnectedness (without circuit breakers) potentially increases the scale/influence of things, good or bad. -
Is it harder or easier for fentanyl made in China to hit US streets 48hrs later? The point is that *if* a war should happen its potential reach far greater than any war in human history. A function of system dynamics.
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Analogy of concept: 1913-Most believed that grand interconnection made a large Euro war impossible. 1914-WWI. Let'shit the logic: Complex system = Fragile system. The grand imagined future is rooted in unstable soil. Since when do positive trends continue indefinitely?
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Really? Imagine the Spanish flu 2018. It would spread 1000x faster than in 1918. This is not a hypothetical scenario. Not a question of if but when.
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Pessimist! I think we'd figure out how to stop it faster now because of our connectedness.
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It had advantages and disadvantages. That's the tricky thing.
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What if interconnectedness protects us on certain scales (lower) but causes us greater catastrophic risk at larger scale?
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No it's what makes every action that much more impactful, in both directions. The 'globalisation' of Europe in the early C20th is what allowed one fatality to spiral into a 'world' war.
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