No. @ScottAdamsSays makes the same mistake as Pinker. The 'world' is more at risk than ever before...even if only due to systemic/cascading effects #pseudostabilityhttps://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1078328558269825024 …
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Taleb explains in Antifragile why tail risk is more consequential now. Interconnectedness leads to cascade effects. The global financial crisis of 2008-09 wouldn’t have happened 200 years ago because the global financial system was more fragmented. Nuclear war another example.
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Instability comes about through lack of information/signalling and the build-up of tensions and sudden significant release, overcorrection/exaggerated response, and 2nd order repercussion with no dampening mechanism. Connectedness=contagion, but also dilution.
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i don't think the world was so connected before
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That’s what protects us.
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The world is more connected than before, physically and electronically, and centralised power is greater.
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Sounds very stable.
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I think risks like nuclear war wasn’t there before but you can’t also ignore the progress.
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Are you drunk? Cold War says hello.
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You’re underestimating unprecedented risks from alarmist, deranged perceptions of Trump in huge sections of western societies— the sections that call the shots at all levels except POTUS
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That’s mostly news chatter.
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