Have I ever mentioned that climate models are not science? They are tools used by scientists. You can doubt the accuracy of the models and still be 100% compatible with science.https://twitter.com/VWHORUSHD/status/1062712146646183936 …
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I probably worded it wrong. What I meant was, show me how your model correctly predicted the future - before the future arrived. Because, as you say, anybody can make a model fit the past.
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You worded it fine. 'Twas misinterpreted.
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Except lots of stock market models work, they've worked for years and all you'd have to do is read 1 book on the 200+ yr history of U.S. markets (Stocks for the Long Run) to understand there are plenty of models for making money in the stock market that worked & continue to work.
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That's a big "oh hell no" there. A few people figure out a temporary edge every once in awhile, but all in all, outside of trading on inside knowledge, it's one big crap shoot.
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