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ScottAdamsSays's profile
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Scott Adams
Verified account
@ScottAdamsSays

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Scott AdamsVerified account

@ScottAdamsSays

My Micro Lesson (2-4 min. videos) on being more happier and more effective in life are on Locals: http://bit.ly/2Ygv2tf 

Pleasanton CA
youtube.com/c/realCoffeeWi…
Joined October 2014

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    1. Eric Weinstein‏Verified account @EricRWeinstein 23 Jul 2018

      Eric Weinstein Retweeted

      I rarely talk Trump. I never know when he’s actually crazy or crazy like a fox. I’ve called him an existential risk. I thought that was clear enough. He’s an existential risk who, ex-post, might do some good, but at unacceptably high ex-ante risk. I can’t believe we’re here. https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1021234525626609666 …

      Eric Weinstein added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      191 replies 209 retweets 1,454 likes
    2. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 23 Jul 2018
      Replying to @EricRWeinstein

      How does one assess risk in a once-ever scenario? My bias is that offering a choice of friendship or certain destruction reduces risk when credible. This is credible.

      23 replies 35 retweets 383 likes
    3. Eric Weinstein‏Verified account @EricRWeinstein 23 Jul 2018
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      Hey Scott. Ok. Walk me through it? Who are Trump’s allies w/ whom we’ve been carefully rehearsing & co-strategizing in case this goes hot? What’s the plan for a simultaneous China trade war, N Korea deterioration, attacking our own IC, & political infighting around Russian ties?

      15 replies 1 retweet 76 likes
    4. Eric Weinstein‏Verified account @EricRWeinstein 23 Jul 2018
      Replying to @EricRWeinstein @ScottAdamsSays

      I’m open to drunken boxing, or crazy-like-a-fox. I get the Vincent “The Chin” Gigante ‘walk around G. Village in your bathrobe routine’ to avoid being easy prey. But wouldn’t he be very focused on having great relations w/ our Intelligence Community & Allies to be hyper credible?

      13 replies 1 retweet 45 likes
    5. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 23 Jul 2018
      Replying to @EricRWeinstein

      That would be 2% better, yes. But Trump didn’t start that fight.

      2 replies 3 retweets 75 likes
    6. Eric Weinstein‏Verified account @EricRWeinstein 23 Jul 2018
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      Just 2%. Okay at least that’s at least arguably de minimis. From where does that estimate come? How are you getting there?

      12 replies 1 retweet 31 likes
    7. Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 23 Jul 2018
      Replying to @EricRWeinstein

      Based on the fact our country comes together against external threats. And the IC are pros.

      6 replies 5 retweets 55 likes
    8. Eric Weinstein‏Verified account @EricRWeinstein 23 Jul 2018
      Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

      Post WMD? Post Vietnam? Post Trump? Post Church/Pike. I dunno. Maybe. But Scott. I gotta be honest. You seem to be confusing “people don’t get that this could work out” with “this is so cool, it’s gonna work fine” and I don’t know where you get the extra juice to make that leap.

      10 replies 1 retweet 46 likes
      Scott Adams‏Verified account @ScottAdamsSays 23 Jul 2018
      Replying to @EricRWeinstein

      I observe that people who use the right persuasion tools generally get the right results. Trump is doing that extraordinarily well here. He has all the cards.

      5:05 PM - 23 Jul 2018
      • 18 Retweets
      • 139 Likes
      • The Third Point Comfortably ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Random Chance MG Lost In LA Gabi Stan Mike Hodges Mike Dr. Mike ||redacted||
      12 replies 18 retweets 139 likes
        1. TxTom‏ @tmore3 23 Jul 2018
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @EricRWeinstein

          Psychology is so far removed from mathematics it is hard to understand each other. I can’t do algebra, but I know psychology sometimes.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Eric Weinstein‏Verified account @EricRWeinstein 23 Jul 2018
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays

          I see the next level psychological manipulation or persuasion as you do. That’s not where we are missing. Trump is “short volatility” here. So “generally” is irrelevant. It’s about expected value. How do you get from generally positive to positive expected value? Help me out SA?

          24 replies 2 retweets 53 likes
        3. Show replies
        1. Ron‏ @ron_herrema_ 23 Jul 2018
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @Therealbp65 @EricRWeinstein

          He’s prolly read this a few timespic.twitter.com/qb3ebKVvWR

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Twitt_Really_Itches‏ @Twitt_Itches 23 Jul 2018
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @EricRWeinstein

          Twitt_Really_Itches Retweeted Amichai Stein

          https://twitter.com/AmichaiStein1/status/1021443467866714114?s=19 …

          Twitt_Really_Itches added,

          Amichai SteinVerified account @AmichaiStein1
          #BREAKING: Israeli official: Russia has agreed that Iranian forces will not be present 100km from the border between Israel & Syria, Israel has demanded 3 other points for a full Iranian exit from Syria https://twitter.com/AmichaiStein1/status/1021441463392055296 …
          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. TxTom‏ @tmore3 23 Jul 2018
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @EricRWeinstein

          What does “short volatility” mean in context of Trump?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Show replies
        1. ĿЄVЄĿ ㄨ  🧢 🇺🇲 🏴‍☠️ 🚀‏ @BraveNewtWorld 24 Jul 2018
          Replying to @ScottAdamsSays @Impeach_Barry1 @EricRWeinstein

          Does bias increase once one chooses a side?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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