I rarely talk Trump. I never know when he’s actually crazy or crazy like a fox. I’ve called him an existential risk. I thought that was clear enough. He’s an existential risk who, ex-post, might do some good, but at unacceptably high ex-ante risk. I can’t believe we’re here. https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1021234525626609666 …
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Psychology is so far removed from mathematics it is hard to understand each other. I can’t do algebra, but I know psychology sometimes.
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I see the next level psychological manipulation or persuasion as you do. That’s not where we are missing. Trump is “short volatility” here. So “generally” is irrelevant. It’s about expected value. How do you get from generally positive to positive expected value? Help me out SA?
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What does “short volatility” mean in context of Trump?
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Does bias increase once one chooses a side?
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