At most, this argues that it was one of a hundred variables that mattered. My guess is that it provided a “fake because” to some, allowing them to rationalize a Trump vote that was coming anyway.https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1007347627195817984 …
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Hard to imagine a voter going to the lengths of lying to a poll survey by claiming allegiance to your chosen candidate’s rival at any point in a campaign. And then deciding to come clean in the last week? A more comfortable lie would just be “undecided”, no?
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