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Hey guys, in our
@welt podcast DuZ we discuss whether one-time tech darling Facebook, fallen out of TRILLION-DOLLAR CLUB & now worth just $600bn, is now MEGA opportunity or META disaster. And we argue whether Swiss Franc will rise to Euro parity. MUST HEAR!https://podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/facebook-nach-dem-sturz-meta-desaster-oder-mega-chance/id1377208237?i=1000550467720 …pic.twitter.com/hqEbAoEFs8
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Global stocks rebound as govt debt sell-off pauses w/European stocks & US Futures higher.
#Spain's Ibex now in green YTD. US 10y yields drop by 3bps to 1.93%, Italy's 10y drops 6bps to 1.78%. Cryptocurrencies do not benefit from Risk On move w/#Bitcoin
$43.3k. Gold unch at $1827.pic.twitter.com/vMHIl7yqPN
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Good morning from
#Germany, where exports to US have set a fresh record. In past 12mths, goods worth >€120bn were shipped overseas. This makes US most important nation for German exports, far ahead of China or France. Volume of exports to China has even fallen slightly recently.pic.twitter.com/U8n1I9xoYr
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OUCH! German power prices jump as France cuts nuclear forecast. Reactor outages have forced France to import electricity at times. Morgan Stanley sees ‘meaningful likelihood’ of 2023 output cut.pic.twitter.com/BfRjVoxpRB
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#ECB balance sheet hit fresh ATH after last week's meeting as Lagarde keeps printing press rumbling regardless of rising inflation. Total assets rose by another €7.5bn to €8,630.1bn, equal to 81.8% of Eurozone GDP vs Fed's 37%, BoJ's 135%, BoE's 42%.pic.twitter.com/yHCtzeshet
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Bond mkt rout continues: US 10y yields on course 2%.pic.twitter.com/Hm1v0Ch5PX
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Good Morning from
#Germany where Target2 claims drop from ATH. Target2 claims of Bundesbank on the rest of Eurosystem fall to €1.15tn, typical for Jan, meaning substantial risks for Germany. At a time when ECB slowly scaling back stimulus, these risks are coming back into focus.pic.twitter.com/zVvmB8szyC
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Crypto bucks the tech downtrend today.
#Bitcoin
jumps >$44k, #Ether ~$3150.pic.twitter.com/64hi7NLPHK
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But here to close Italian spreads?
#ECB's Lagarde tries to soothe bond mkt investors w/dovish remarks after Italy's yield spiked. Says no need for big ECB tightening as inflation to hold at target. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/euro-zone-inflation-could-subside-before-becoming-entrenched-lagarde-2022-02-07/ …pic.twitter.com/3avV8KJEx5
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Meta loses another $33bn in mkt cap as EU leaders buck at threats to shutter Facebook & Instagram. Meta threatened to pull FB & Insta from Europe if it is unable to keep transferring user data back to US, amid negotiations to replace scrapped privacy pact. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/meta-threatens-to-shutter-facebook-and-instagram-in-europe-over-data-transfer-dispute-11644262137?reflink=mw_share_twitter …pic.twitter.com/S8p1ANUhB8
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#Italy 10y risk spread over Germany jumps to 164bps, highest since 2020, as bond markets are currently being repriced after#ECB's (verbally) hawkish pivot.pic.twitter.com/T2V9iiqObs
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OUCH! Greek bonds are bearing the brunt of
#ECB's hawkish pivot.#Greece's 10y yields jump by 27bps to 2.55%, the highest level since Apr 2020.pic.twitter.com/RWyI7xq8IK
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Positive again the new normal? Volume of negative-yielding debt has crashed <$5tn for the 1st time since 2015.pic.twitter.com/fpjrj8rfHQ
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Good Morning from
#Germany where positive yields are becoming the norm again after the recent bond meltdown. Bund yields are now positive for maturities of 5 years and above.pic.twitter.com/bLws7JKPLB
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100k and still running: If you want to make sense of the markets, just listen to our
@welt podcast w/hedge fund manager@StefanHeieck. https://podcasts.apple.com/de/podcast/raus-aus-zalando-tesla-blackrock-ein-shortseller-packt-aus/id1549709271?i=1000549350821 …pic.twitter.com/FyyOuLG9y1
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#ECB Governing Council Member Klaas Knot sees an interest-rate hike as early October. Says Eurozone#inflation likely to stay above 4% for most of 2022 and way higher than ECB predicted in Dec. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-06/ecb-s-knot-sees-interest-rate-hike-as-early-as-october?sref=R17xFhjo …pic.twitter.com/yfVx4w03xU
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Global stocks have gained $3.1tn in mkt cap this week on the back of strong results from comps across the econ & as US Dollar weakens vs Euro (-2.7%), making equities from non-dollar area, such as Europe, more valuable. Global stocks now worth $116tn, equal to 137% of global GDP.pic.twitter.com/GfIInxq7bq
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Good Morning back from
#Germany where financial repression continues. Although nominal 10y yields have turned positive again, now at +0.2%, when you subtract the actual inflation of 4.9%, real yields are left at -4.7%. Real yields are now NEGATIVE for 69 consecutive mths..pic.twitter.com/RwFMMe1EzT
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#Austria 10y risk over Germany spread has jumped to the highest level since 2020 in recent bond selloff. 10y Austria bond yields now at 0.5% while German 10y bonds yield 0.2%.pic.twitter.com/JM2nw1rW0w
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Good Morning from
#Austria, where citizens also hoard a lot of money in their accounts that is not protected from#inflation. Retail deposits have even increased more than in#Germany since 2003. Inflation in Austria has just jumped >5% & hit the highest level since 1984.pic.twitter.com/mTcUt4RS34
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