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New ATH for spooz tonight.
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$TSLA is +86% (+$364 per share) since this tweet, posted just 26 trading days ago.https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1209142364473843713 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Ahead of tonight's
#IowaCaucuses, Bernie Sanders is currently generating the most Google search traffic in the state. These data seem to corroborate recent polls which show his popularity surpassing his competitors'.pic.twitter.com/coW8Ky1OGP
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According to the Census Bureau’s advance 4Q19 GDP release, real imports (QoQ SAAR) declined by 8.7%, the largest quarterly drop since 2Q09. The YoY growth rate plunged into negative territory, a first since 2Q08. Such occurrences have portended previous recessions.pic.twitter.com/tF93yGtEur
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All 5 of the Fed's regional manufacturing surveys for January have been released. Pictured below is a written summary of the aggregated data, a tabular compendium of subindices, and an illustrative chart. Needless to say, next week's ISM mfg release will be super interesting!pic.twitter.com/XKkMZKhphb
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Copper just experienced its largest 7-day decline (~10%) since 2011, and today the copper:gold ratio broke through its recent bottom and fell to the lowest level since September of 2016.https://twitter.com/SchiffSpencer/status/1221616564488867840 …
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In the past 5 sessions, copper is -7.1% and the copper:gold ratio is -8.3%. Declines of this magnitude are rare.
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Bernie Sanders now has an 8-point lead over Joe Biden on the
@PredictIt betting market. This is a major gain from 2 days ago, when he was still trailing by 3 points. This momentum comes at a critical time, as the Iowa caucuses are only 8 days away.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
The S&P narrowly avoided a -1% close today; It would've been the first 1% move on a closing basis since October 15th. The streak continues.
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After temporarily surging to a 13yr high in 2018 (fiscal-stimulus effect), the CFNAI’s annual average fell 0.43pts in 2019, the largest decline since 2008. At -0.25, a level which indicates below-trend economic growth, 2019 was significantly worse than Obama’s 2nd-term average.
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The FOMC needs to cut the target fed funds rate and expand their asset purchases to stop the Coronavirus from spreading.
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December's sequential increase in
#manufacturing production wasn't enough to overcome the unfavorable base effect (a 0.64% m/m rise in Dec. of 2018) that generated a 1.26% YoY decline. Those comps will become substantially easier throughout the next few months.pic.twitter.com/9S8xd4mWHP
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The average of NY/Philly Fed's regional manufacturing surveys improved in January; The internals, which I summarized in the table below, were mostly positive. I’ll post a complete compilation of this month’s surveys once the remaining 3 are released.pic.twitter.com/h6ZD8nPBiD
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S&P futures have now gained over 1,000 points since the low of December 26th 2018.
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I will delete my Twitter account if the Federal Reserve is mentioned even a single time in tonight's
#DemocraticDebate.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Today's CPI release reveals that in December, real AWE growth was negative YoY (albeit only -0.01%) for the first time since March 2017.https://twitter.com/SchiffSpencer/status/1216438879986835457 …
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Largest sequential decline for biweekly C&I loans in nearly a decade doesn’t appear to be seasonality-related. The YoY growth rate has fallen to 0.64%, from 11% last March. While not a prerequisite to recessions, dips into negative territory have ALWAYS been accompanied by them.pic.twitter.com/GuBMKsjXBi
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Super late jobs report (Jan 10th!) means this week won't be characterized by the typical post-payrolls dearth of macro data. Releases include NFIB's SBOI, CPI, PPI, Empire/Philly mfg surveys, JOLTS, IP, retail sales, NAHB's HMI, housing starts/permits, & UMich consumer sentiment.
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YoY AHE growth slowed to a 16-month low of 2.87% in December. Even more notable is the decline in YoY AWE growth to 2.27%, a 32-month low. After reaching a cycle high of 3.63% in October 2018, it has since returned to the vicinity of its 2012-2016 average of approximately 2.2%.pic.twitter.com/Of5C3NmQBd
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