Spencer Schiff

@SchiffSpencer

Hello, my name is Spencer, I live in Connecticut, 17 years old, 12th grade. This is my Twitter account.

Vrijeme pridruživanja: siječanj 2018.

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  1. prije 11 sati

    New ATH for spooz tonight.

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  2. 3. velj

    is +86% (+$364 per share) since this tweet, posted just 26 trading days ago.

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  3. 3. velj

    Ahead of tonight's , Bernie Sanders is currently generating the most Google search traffic in the state. These data seem to corroborate recent polls which show his popularity surpassing his competitors'.

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  4. 3. velj

    ISM guesses?

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  5. 30. sij

    According to the Census Bureau’s advance 4Q19 GDP release, real imports (QoQ SAAR) declined by 8.7%, the largest quarterly drop since 2Q09. The YoY growth rate plunged into negative territory, a first since 2Q08. Such occurrences have portended previous recessions.

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  6. 30. sij

    All 5 of the Fed's regional manufacturing surveys for January have been released. Pictured below is a written summary of the aggregated data, a tabular compendium of subindices, and an illustrative chart. Needless to say, next week's ISM mfg release will be super interesting!

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  7. 29. sij

    Copper just experienced its largest 7-day decline (~10%) since 2011, and today the copper:gold ratio broke through its recent bottom and fell to the lowest level since September of 2016.

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  8. 27. sij

    In the past 5 sessions, copper is -7.1% and the copper:gold ratio is -8.3%. Declines of this magnitude are rare.

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  9. 26. sij

    Bernie Sanders now has an 8-point lead over Joe Biden on the betting market. This is a major gain from 2 days ago, when he was still trailing by 3 points. This momentum comes at a critical time, as the Iowa caucuses are only 8 days away.

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  10. 24. sij

    The S&P narrowly avoided a -1% close today; It would've been the first 1% move on a closing basis since October 15th. The streak continues.

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  11. 22. sij

    After temporarily surging to a 13yr high in 2018 (fiscal-stimulus effect), the CFNAI’s annual average fell 0.43pts in 2019, the largest decline since 2008. At -0.25, a level which indicates below-trend economic growth, 2019 was significantly worse than Obama’s 2nd-term average.

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  12. 21. sij

    The FOMC needs to cut the target fed funds rate and expand their asset purchases to stop the Coronavirus from spreading.

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  13. 20. sij

    December's sequential increase in production wasn't enough to overcome the unfavorable base effect (a 0.64% m/m rise in Dec. of 2018) that generated a 1.26% YoY decline. Those comps will become substantially easier throughout the next few months.

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  14. 19. sij

    The average of NY/Philly Fed's regional manufacturing surveys improved in January; The internals, which I summarized in the table below, were mostly positive. I’ll post a complete compilation of this month’s surveys once the remaining 3 are released.

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  15. 18. sij

    S&P futures have now gained over 1,000 points since the low of December 26th 2018.

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  16. 15. sij

    I will delete my Twitter account if the Federal Reserve is mentioned even a single time in tonight's .

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  17. 14. sij

    Today's CPI release reveals that in December, real AWE growth was negative YoY (albeit only -0.01%) for the first time since March 2017.

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  18. 14. sij

    Largest sequential decline for biweekly C&I loans in nearly a decade doesn’t appear to be seasonality-related. The YoY growth rate has fallen to 0.64%, from 11% last March. While not a prerequisite to recessions, dips into negative territory have ALWAYS been accompanied by them.

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  19. 12. sij

    Super late jobs report (Jan 10th!) means this week won't be characterized by the typical post-payrolls dearth of macro data. Releases include NFIB's SBOI, CPI, PPI, Empire/Philly mfg surveys, JOLTS, IP, retail sales, NAHB's HMI, housing starts/permits, & UMich consumer sentiment.

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  20. 12. sij

    YoY AHE growth slowed to a 16-month low of 2.87% in December. Even more notable is the decline in YoY AWE growth to 2.27%, a 32-month low. After reaching a cycle high of 3.63% in October 2018, it has since returned to the vicinity of its 2012-2016 average of approximately 2.2%.

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