This is on the very generous end of normal subsidizes, it might not be fiscally sustainable. Interesting test of affordable family formation theory. Nothing revolutionary about it however unless it eventually raises total fertility rate above 2.1https://twitter.com/matthewschmitz/status/1016670747950047233 …
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The most revolutionary social policy of the 21st century would be one that would raise total fertility rates above 2.1 after they have gone below. Nothing has been found so far.
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The assumptions that generous welfare or a return to social conservatism and sexual modesty can increase total fertility rate above 2.1 have so far proven false so far. Proponents of both simply propose trying their approaches extra hard.
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A developed or developing world government that reliably cracks the problem of above replacement fertility would acquire a notable advantage over others.
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If no such policy or set of policies is discovered, countries favoring selective mass immigration, will be economically, technologically and demographically dominant.
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At least at first... As the shortage grows more acute, only a handful of the riches and relatively city states, like Singapore will be able to compete. For large developed or developing states of 30 or 100M+ protectionist policies might come to be the least bad option.
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In a low high human capital fertility world, the most powerful countries in the world might by the end of this century be those that limit emigration, through policies ranging from current US taxation of former citizens all the way to the old East German model.
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