In early 2017 I made the prediction that 2018 will be the year America realizes China has surpassed it.
Putin was playing geopolitics 2000-2018, but the stakes were low. What was being decided was the speed of Russian relative decline and whether it would be absolute decline as well.
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Because geopolitics will be high stakes, expect new players who previously wouldn't have built up states (gone into more lucrative or interesting positions) to now invest energies into their states.
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