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SamoBurja's profile
Samo Burja
Samo Burja
Samo Burja
@SamoBurja

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Samo Burja

@SamoBurja

Paradox: Closet humanist, truthful analyst, and measured founder. There has never been an immortal human society. Figuring out why.

San Francisco, CA
samoburja.com
Joined January 2018

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    1. Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

      In early 2017 I made the prediction that 2018 will be the year America realizes China has surpassed it.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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    2. Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

      This is a qualified statement of course. The US is ahead on many dimensions.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    3. Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

      However the most important dimension, expectations about the future flipped in 2018: The new default is Chinese hegemony *over* rather than Chinese assimilation *into* the Western order.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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    4. Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

      2018 is the year the American establishment realizes the future belongs to China.

      1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
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    5. Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

      This also means 2018 is the year of American awakening. We shall see more and more its institutions strain to alter the expected outcome of Chinese hegemony.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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    6. Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

      This response against China, will reveal fresh reserves. It will allow us to more accurately judge the health of American institutions.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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      Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

      I expect over the next few decades we will find American institutions lacking.

      10:54 AM - 20 Jun 2018
      • 2 Likes
      • Andrew Breese Simon Sarris
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

          An additional consequence is that 2018 is the year of the return of high stakes geopolitics.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        3. Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

          Putin was playing geopolitics 2000-2018, but the stakes were low. What was being decided was the speed of Russian relative decline and whether it would be absolute decline as well.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        4. Samo Burja‏ @SamoBurja Jun 20

          Because geopolitics will be high stakes, expect new players who previously wouldn't have built up states (gone into more lucrative or interesting positions) to now invest energies into their states.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        5. End of conversation
        1. Simon Sarris‏ @simonsarris Jun 20
          Replying to @SamoBurja

          I hope this forces non-trivial soul searching on the USA's part.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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