Conversation

4) Now, LUNA/UST were bad, and ended badly! So did Theranos. But the core accusation against Holmes isn't that Theranos failed. Startups fail all the time. The accusation is that _she lied_.
24
725
5) In particular, that she said that Theranos was doing specific things that it wasn't doing; the fraudulent behavior was her pretending to investors that one type of test was another. Luna is different.
22
589
6) The LUNA/UST mechanism wasn't misrepresented--it was, in fact, very transparent. And, I think it was transparently going to falter at some point. Do Kwon obviously stood by it, morally and in terms of press, long after he should have backed off.
78
1,194
7) But he didn't claim that UST was backed 1:1 by USD. He claimed, accurately, that it was backed by a bunch of volatile assets. It was very publicly clear that those assets might go down, and the rest followed. Again--I don't want to condone the behavior. But it's different.
33
1,066
8) Luna was a case of mass enthusiasm, excitement, and--frankly--marketing and memes--driving people to believe in something which was going to falter according to publicly available information. That marketing was probably bad. But it wasn't the *same* type of bad as Theranos.
74
991
Replying to
11) NFLX went up a lot and then down a lot, and is a real company. LUNA went up a lot and then down even more, and had a very transparent but also very bad problem. AMC went up a lot and then down a lot, because memes got more and less popular. ARKK is a combination of those.
167
1,122
Replying to
What these and Theranos have in common is a market that wants to believe… until it doesn’t. The market is a sentiment network, and network effects are sometimes also negative.
2
Replying to and
The point is that they are in a set of things which went down >50% but the circumstances and dimensions were different for each. He is illustrating the point by an example.
2
4
Show replies