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SBF
@SBF_FTX
16) And the
@SFGiants
are starting to show the signs of an organization that has discovered numbers. --Their player development weirdly outperforms (think of their pitching staff this year!) --You've never heard of any of their outfielders, but they had the 3rd best in baseball
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
17) (The Giants had 6 different players produce 1+ WAR in the outfield last year! Their LF platoon of Ruf, Slater, and Wade outperformed nearly every team.)
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
18) I used to want to become a GM for a baseball team. There are, I think, a set of things you could implement that would be worth more to the team than any single player in the league.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
19) But as I look on it now, I worry that being a baseball GM is getting too commoditized. I'm sure that's a gross oversimplification. But, slowly, team after team has realized the gains from common sense changes, and the competitive advantage gets smaller.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
20) I think there's one last frontier for in-game baseball strategy that could be worth a huge amount, although the league might rulemake away much of its advantage this offseason. It's based on the following claims:
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
21) a) Pitchers get tired the more they pitch in a day b) (a) isn't just a reflection of yearly usage: pitchers are in fact decently refreshed after taking a day off c) pitchers get worse the 2nd/3rd/etc. time they face a batter, because the batter gets used to their stuff
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
22) d) pitchers suck at hitting (no offence Greinke/Bumgarner!) e) there are substantial gains to getting platooon advantage if you can be nimble with your pitchers We've started to see some of these play out with "openers". But what's the final form?
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
23) Well, (a) and (b) imply that you only want a pitcher to throw a few innings in a game. (c) implies that you only want a pitcher to throw a few innings. (d) implies that you want to pinch hit for your pitchers.... every few innings. (e) implies that you want to...
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
24) They actually all imply the same thing: especially in the NL, I think pitchers should almost *never* go through the order more than once. You should pinch hit for them *every time* they bat.
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Michael McGowan
@mtm1013
Replying to
@SBF_FTX
A variation of your "never let the pitcher hit" strategy was explored in The Book by
@tangotiger
et al. It was far less extreme and used tandem starters, and if I recall correctly they estimated it at ~2 WAR per year.
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Acquiring Knowledge
@RZ_3_
Replying to
@SBF_FTX
Why did you sponsor this administration again?
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Patrick Dugan 🦇🔊₿
@duganist
Reading up on IRS provision 6050I inserted into the Infra. bill set to pass in the house on Friday. In July we made a huge fuss about the broker thing. This is 100x worse. Criminal felonies, includes all individuals and all tokens, all mixing, all custody.
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Mr. Malaka
@MyDrunkAccount2
Replying to
@SBF_FTX
Ive thought about this a lot too, but with the NL changing the rules to include a DH it makes sense you would have to have a certain amount of long men, then relievers to pick up the slack, and would want someone for get-out situations. 12 pitchers so how does that breakup look?
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