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"On passes over the middle and from 10 to 20 yards deep, the Chargers defense is ranked 26th in the NFL in EPA per play surrendered -- and that’s right where Jackson likes to attack. Jackson has been launching downfield missiles all season long" 5 game sample, fucking lol

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and

All football analytics articles come with the caveat of small same size. It's not just statistical analysis, it matches the eye test and your expectations for someone of Jackson's talents. He puts LBs in a bind, letting him sneak passes in behind them. Always has.

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and

that's true on first down too, though; not sure I'd expect to have strong splits based on downs

4:32 PM · Oct 16, 2021Twitter Web App

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and

I think it does though. If you're not spying Jackson with your best athlete on 3rd down he's going to run for it anyway. Unfortunately those are also the guys that tend to get tasked with defending that area of the field against the pass, illustrating how he's able to work there

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but why isn't the same effect there on 1st down?

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Arif Hasan, hates turkey

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From a decision-making standpoint, there are different plays in playbooks for early downs than later downs. The fact that decision-makers are tasked with preventing a binary outcome (new set of downs) on later downs changes playcalling very fundamentally.