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1) another lazy, incoherent take on COVID:

A Second Major Seasonal Virus Won’t Leave Us Any Choice

Businesses and schools must adapt, because the dual threat from COVID and the flu will be too severe.

310

Oct 15, 2021

2) as with many, this one doesn’t bother attempting a cost benefit analysis. If it did, it would maybe notice that the claimed annual damages from the flu are around $50b. How about it’s proposed countermeasures?

SBF

@SBF_FTX

Oct 15, 2021

3) well, US GDP is $20T, so we have 0.2% to play with—0.4% if you double it to include endemic COVID. Maybe his proposed interventions would halve the risk—back to 0.2%. That’s the equivalent of missing 1 day per year of work.

SBF

@SBF_FTX

Oct 15, 2021

4) the proposed interventions include: A) vaccines. I think the cost of this alone is ~ 1 work day per year. B) Zoom instead of meetings. Much of our business wouldn’t have happened without in person meetings. C) staying home if you have a sick housemate (already 1/year)

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Where you getting the cost of the vaccine from? Seems high

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and

Agreed. I would estimate the cost of getting a vaccine at a fraction of that.

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a decent fraction of people lose ~1-3 days productivity from the temporary aftereffects of it, plus at the minimum it costs ~0.5-2 hours of your time to get, plus it costs $20 (often paid for by governments), plus it hurts, which I think adds up to ~0.25-2 day's productivity?

3:14 PM · Oct 15, 2021Twitter Web App