Conversation

Replying to
4) Our data has Huobi doing about $750B of volume in July (roughly $25B/day). $110m revenue / $750B volume --> 0.015% take rate, which roughly lines up with other large exchanges whose volume is primarily futures. (This doesn't say anything about expenses, mind you.)
4
68
5) What does this imply for HT? Well, it has a circulating market cap of $2.2B and a fully diluted cap of $2.9B (excluding already burnt tokens). It's burning about $250m/year, so HT is trading at roughly 10-years burn at this rate. (How long will Huobi keep burning? IDK!)
2
68
6) That's on the low end of multiples as far as exchange tokens go. Either it's a great buy (relative to others), or the market is pricing in future declines in relative volume. FWIW, here's Huobi's % of market volume for the past few years:
Image
9
93
7) Now what does it say about the business? Well, Huobi seems to be making about $110m/month ~ $1.3B/year of revenue. In terms of expenses--I don't know; but based on other large crypto exchanges, I'm guessing they're spending about $500m-$1b/year ($250m from buy/burn).
4
82
8) That would imply a net profit of roughly $500m/year for Huobi. FWIW -- this is in the same ballpark as FTX
10
216
Show more replies