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SBF
@SBF_FTX
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@SBF_FTX
2) They're aiming for a $2b valuation. Where is that coming from? Well, their 30m+ active users and $500m revenue, of course!* (*2025 estimate)
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
3) wait, 2025 projections? Isn't that far away? Sure, but when you invest, often you're investing in the future! And, of course, you can paint a pretty compelling road towards 30m users based on their, uh... Is that a 0?
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
4) Man would I like to be the guy who typed '0' into the deck and then was like "yeah, totally, 30m, that's what 0 projects to!"
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
5) Well, ok, sure, how about that $500m? That's pretty neat, huh? Well, that's projected based off of... uh, $55m this year, or wait sorry they don't give this year. But maybe it's projected based on the... projection for next year of $55m?
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
6) Note that EBITDA, too -- somehow they're spending $260m/year right now on expenses, to go along with that $55m (projected!) revenue.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
7) So where's this $2b really coming from? I think the basic answer is: a) c'mon, man, this is ICE, kinda! b) people invested at a $800m valuation a year ago and BTC was a lot lower then! c) IPOs are seeing huge inflows right now
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
8) p.s. NONE OF THIS MEANS BAKKT WILL GO DOWN AND NOT UP. IT MIGHT GO UP. SOMETIMES NUMBERS GO UP.
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