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I don't think it's a couple percentage points -- probably more like 0.20% or so -- but anything above 0.01% is way too high.

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Timothy B. Lee

@binarybits

Jan 6, 2021

I'm still very confident trump will leave office on January 20 but my estimate of the odds I'll live to see the end of american democracy just went up by a couple of percentage points.

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7:55 PM · Jan 6, 2021Twitter Web App

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make a betting token on this potential outcome by 2040

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Oooh! Perps?

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Are you planning to bring the democracy token on FTX :P

stronghodl / 424.eth

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I almost cant use ftx :( get prohibited jurisdiction message