22) So given all that, why not bet all $100k? Why only $50k?
Because if you bet $100k and lose, you can never bet again. And to the extent you think you have future ways to provide value that are contingent on having some amount of funding, it can be important to keep that.
Conversation
26) There are a number of great places to give. In the past I’ve given to charities recommended by givewell.org, animalcharityevaluators.org, and openphilanthropy.org if you want a place to start looking.
22
16
196
I think I would agree in the context of altruism, although with possibly a different framing that deemphasizes marginal utility of wealth.
The world’s “portfolio” of effective altruists is somewhat diversified, since there are many EAs (though not as many as there should be).
2
8
If the full set of effective altruists goes all in on the positive-EV bet, then that set will maximize its own wealth (AS WELL as, approximately, log wealth!)
Because they’re altruists, they can then reallocate among themselves however best serves further portfolio wealth growth
1
3
(This is assuming uncorrelated bets! If they’re correlated, they shouldn’t do this)
1
2
Replying to
Yup agreed -- to the extent there's trust between EAs, it creates some really powerful effects.
I think I've found this to be true but insufficiently so -- there are people willing to go way more out on a limb, and those people have done enormous amounts of good.
1
2
So is effective altruism just about maximizing wealth, to maximize giving? Our problems as a species, culminate in poor resource allocation, but is that not just a symptom?
1
It's more about finding the way to do the most good.
That could mean donating, could it could mean working directly on the problems -- whichever you can do to help fix them more.
I’m thinking psychadelics or MDMA in the water source, might do the most good 😃. Human brain is 🤯.
That’s why I got interested in crypto. If economic systems change, maybe so will our behavior, as it’s shaped by our culture. Or maybe Elon will have to make us hybrids 🤷🏽♀️


