FWIW I've def given Nate Silver shit for being overconfident and not updating, but prediction markets aren't perfect either. Sometimes, it's the blind leading the blind.
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What I don't follow here is that the bet is in USD. So on either side of the bet, you have a lost opportunity cost with having put your funds into bitcoin / crypto instead over 4 months. So are the trump / biden percentages also taking into account bitcoin futures?
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Hey Sam, FTX is awesome but there's 1 big problem - why are your BTC MOVE contracts in USD?
I really want to trade the 2021 MOVE contracts but can't coz it'll mean i'll miss out on bitcoin upside.
Change the underlying to BTC and i'm in 👍
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you can use any token or stock as collateral for any future or stock future or move contract on FTX ;)
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