1) OK, one final update to TRUMP contracts:
help.ftx.com/hc/en-us/artic
ftx.com/trade/TRUMPFEB has listed!
Conversation
why not just let the market set the fair trading price until the inauguration, when the president is officially elected? even if biden reaches 270 early-on, the case might be taken to supreme court who might overturn the decision
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you could do that -- and ftx.com/trade/TRUMPFEB does!
the downside is it means that everyone's capital is tied up for months.
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How about this scenario?
AP declares Biden winner, but Trump takes the matter to The Supreme Court. SC elects Trump even though the electoral votes are in Biden's favor. Trump is declared winner in January. Does $TRUMP spot/futs expire to 1? (not talking about TRUMPFEB)
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AP calling is _not_ enough.
If this is just called based on networks, it needs _all_ of {The New York Times, 538, 270toWin, Fox, CNN}
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