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16) REMINDER: it doesn't matter who's up in early votes, it matters who's outperforming vs those particular counties' expectations. different counties report at different times, you have to adjust by which are reporting early.
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19) Be careful about Georgia results tonight, they may be missing Atlanta:
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Officials: We won't have the vote count we expected tonight in Fulton County, home to Atlanta and a tenth of all Georgians. Absentee-by-mail processing at State Farm Arena was delayed 4 hours because a water pipe burst in a room. Officials say no ballots were damaged. @ajc #gapol
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23) ok here's a bizarre fact it seems that Florida might be reporting in-person early votes by not mail early votes??? unsure.
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25) It seems like TRUMP underperforming in non-Florida states maybe, though really depends on what's reporting so far.
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31) So far today is looking pretty bad for confidence and pretty good for people who used words like "I don't know" and "it might be close" and "this could drag on"
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33) I'd love someone to create a compendium of tweets expressing confidence that someone would win the election
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