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6) Initial results could be REALLY off this year: about 100m (!!!) mail-in votes cast. In some states, those are counted first, in others last. Mail-in votes are heavily Biden, in-person Trump. So you could see 66% --> 48% as more votes are counted.

fivethirtyeight.com

Why Pennsylvania’s Vote Count Could Change After Election Night

Graphics by Jasmine Mithani We know a majority of Americans plan to vote by mail or in person before Election Day, and at least 75 million have already cast bal…

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7) BTC running up here on ESAs running up (S&P 500 futures). Not sure what's causing the move, but best guess is most things are election related tonight.

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8) If you have very strong opinions about who is going to win, you can still trade! Trump 38%, Biden 62%. ftx.com/president2020

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9) ftx.com/trade/TRUMP twitter.com/skynetcap/stat

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10) random comment: some of the BTC run-up just now may have been driven by some OKEx futures trades. Blast from the past!

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11) ftx.com/trade/TRUMP twitter.com/Sicarious_/sta

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400k (!!!) TRUMP just traded 35.1% on FTX ftx.com/trade/TRUMP

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13) results will start coming out now!

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14) Trump down on early results, seems like some Florida counties are slightly more Biden leaning than expected. ftx.com/trade/TRUMP

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Which is totally unexpected. Traditionally the early reporting counties are the smaller more rural counties and they are heavily red.

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Replying to

Florida is weird -- I don't actually think all polls close at the same time.

12:13 AM · Nov 4, 2020Twitter Web App

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Did not know that. Weird indeed.