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SBF
@SBF_FTX
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@SBF_FTX
6) Initial results could be REALLY off this year: about 100m (!!!) mail-in votes cast. In some states, those are counted first, in others last. Mail-in votes are heavily Biden, in-person Trump. So you could see 66% --> 48% as more votes are counted.
fivethirtyeight.com
Why Pennsylvania’s Vote Count Could Change After Election Night
Graphics by Jasmine Mithani We know a majority of Americans plan to vote by mail or in person before Election Day, and at least 75 million have already cast bal…
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
7) BTC running up here on ESAs running up (S&P 500 futures). Not sure what's causing the move, but best guess is most things are election related tonight.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
10) random comment: some of the BTC run-up just now may have been driven by some OKEx futures trades. Blast from the past!
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
the question isn't who's leading, it's how they're doing relative to expectations. only some counties have reported, and e.g. I don't think Miami-Dade (the Democratic stronghold in Florida) has reported yet.
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