Conversation

SBF
@SBF_FTX
Replying to
@SBF_FTX
6) If I _don't_ see either of those, it's much stronger evidence that I might just be wrong. Where does this come up? Well, often with projects.
1
4
SBF
@SBF_FTX
7) There's one right now (not released) I'm really excited about. Many others less so. I might be wrong -- it's definitely not an easy case to think about! But I also think there are some things other are undervaluing.
2
4
SBF
@SBF_FTX
8) The team is really smart. The team delivers, quickly, and well. Also, the team is not trying to promote it at all. I think it's easy to mistake having a lazy deck for having a lazy project.
1
6
SBF
@SBF_FTX
9) But, also, I might be wrong: there are some reasons others are uncertain that I don't have a great grasp of. We'll see! --- There have been other cases, too. FTX, and Serum, in their early days: it's always easier to have an inside view than an outside one.
1
5
SBF
@SBF_FTX
10) Also, though, there are times which are different: times when I _really_ don't see the appeal of something. But enough people I trust do that it seems like a strong sign. And I don't have a reason to distrust their reasoning.
1
4
SBF
@SBF_FTX
11) One of those was the Open Philanthropy Project. From the outside, I was skeptical. People I trusted vouched for it, though. I didn't quite know why -- but also didn't have a particular reason to doubt them. And they knew more than me. Turns out, they were right.
1
11
SBF
@SBF_FTX
12) Anyway: a) knowing more is better, etc. b) but also, it's helpful to understand what others think and why, and see whether you feel comfortable dismissing it or compelled to update on it c) if you trust someone and don't see a reason to dismiss, you should update some
2
10
This Tweet was deleted by the Tweet author. Learn more
This Tweet was deleted by the Tweet author. Learn more
This Tweet was deleted by the Tweet author. Learn more