Not a ton of movement on betting odds:
electionbettingodds.com
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Should not have big impact imo
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On trading #Debates2020
So like, whats the % of people who will actually change their vote based on this? I would say not so much.
Odds are overreacting. This debate is quite overrated in terms of final outcome.
Hence
Just making market is the way in case of any bigger swing
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Sam, I see on your FTX futures, Trump seems to have had a 2% upwards tick, to 0.373 and Biden a similar dip to 0.63. Any thoughts on the discrepancy? I'd have thought the difference vs those betting odds is material?
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