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13) Which has higher crash risk--FTT, or that basket together? Well, on May 1st, FTT was 15% lower. Half the DeFi coins didn't exist, the other half were on average 60% lower. Similar on 6/1, and 7/1, and 8/1. DeFi is way more volatile than FTT.
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14) In fact, it's *so* much more volatile that even though FTT is one asset and the other DeFi coins are a basket, the *correlated* part of the basket's volatility is still higher than FTT's volatility.
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15) In both directions. On 9/1, FTT was 20% higher. The *average* of the DeFi coins was 240% higher.
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16) The data is pretty clear here: The DeFi coins in CREAM pose a greater risk than FTT. Much, much greater. So much that FTT blowout risk doesn't really register compared to the other risks in DeFi right now.
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17) If you're worried about a 60% move causing liquidations in CREAM: This has happened about once/month for the DeFi basket together recently. FTT hasn't been at a 60% different price in 2020.
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18) So, FTT is probably less risky than the rest of CREAM, but it might get banned. It'd better be useless for it then, right?
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19) Well, it *is* less useful per $ than many of the other coins. But I think the community is not correctly understanding the implications of banning that much of the collateral. a) CREAM TVL down 30% b) CREAM borrowing down 40% c) Interest earned by lenders down 40%
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20) No one will use CREAM for large size again -- it loses a lot of its future value. (and, of course, some partners, liquidity, etc.) I think this probably nukes something like 20% of the protocol's value.
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21) That's a lot! Giving up 20% of value based on an emotional, error-laden tirade to a single large voter for one of the lesser risks of the protocol. Because some people don't believe in borrowing (on a borrow-lending protocol, none the less!)
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22) So, yeah, this is a pretty crap-tastic proposal. That being said -- I think some variants would be reasonable! Want to decrease collateral to 40%? Want to cap any single asset at 20% of the total supply? IDK if those are right, but they're totally plausible.
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Replying to
24) If that's what you want for CREAM--fine. But also then why use CREAM and not Compound? If you want a small, neatly curated list of assets in a static system, that's what Compound specializes in. In CREAM, I see a dynamic, broader protocol, for better or for worse.
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25) But, idk, in the end this is the community's decision. Or, you know, 0xDa495C2Ab0a91623564126778D5AB20fA87C1DFc's. Either way.
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26) Anyway, we just voted to keep FTT as it is now. We would be happy to vote for a reasonable alteration--a moderate decrease in collateral weight, or 20% cap on a single coin! But the 'partial' option here is massively under-specified (as is the voting process for 3 options).
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Replying to and
Hi Sam, love your work. Although, this has nothing to do with this, you have a bigger exposure. This week, Poloniex stole funds of many users trading Parsiq. They lied to Parsiq team regarding the disabling of the deposits, and allowed deposit of worthless tokens on their CEX
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