So has Trump at 16% to win the electoral college.
Betting markets more like 35%.
which do you believe?
FWIW I'd buy a LOT of Trump @ 16%. Seems way too low given how wacky 2020 is.
(Though def < 50%! 35% doesn't sound crazy to me.)
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Will be interesting to see how the betting markets move the day of the election. I assume will keep the order book open until the markets expire.
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