Conversation

SBF
@SBF_FTX
5) I really should know this, but: what's Chris Wallace's deal? (The moderator.) What are his politics? How biased is he usually? Is he likely going to be "impartial" here, or "thesis-driven" so to speak?
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
7) I think that Dems might be overoptimistic about fighting over the SC. I basically don't buy the asymmetry between this and 2016, BUT I think that the fact that R held senate both times muddies the picture a lot. Basically I think it's going to be a stalemate not a home run.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
8) HOLY SHIT "I am the Democratic Party right now" that is way more assertive than Biden normally is.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
9) how do interruptions come across? Does Trump seem like he's in control or like he's a bully?
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
11) oh boy that soft trailing "good healthcare" when Trump finally gave up on interrupting was REALLY pathetic.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
12) "Mr. President I am the moderator of this debate and I would like you to let me ask my question." summary of the debate so far
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
15) Boy Biden's stutter *really* noticeable there. Clearly trying really hard to say "medicaid" correctly, knew it was coming up in the sentence, went 3/4 on getting the world out correctly the first time.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
16) Biden really fucked that one up, you can't very visibly refuse to answer that question. Though his last retort was good.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
17) Really think Biden is going to live to regret not promising not to pack the court there. R's are likely already spinning up attack adds that just play that on loop.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
18) "weeks away from a vaccine" if the election were more than weeks away that would not end up looking good.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
19) boy this is a wacky section, two people reciting lists of PPP to prove they know what a mask is and saying they know how to do masks and the other doesn't.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
22) Trump claimed Biden claims more golf than him. That's... like one of the weirdest lies he's told? Like is there anyone in the world who thinks Biden spends more time golfing than Trump?
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
23) Both candidates' twitters are tweeting during the debate. I feel like this is.... kind of breaking down the third wall? Like we're all watching them _not_ tweeting live while their twitter publishes. So, like, it's _definitely_ a ghostwriter.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
25) My best guess is that Biden's going to whiff on social distancing here -- I suspect that he's going to overestimate support for it. Particularly Trump has the "pro-freedom" line here which is likely to play well.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
26) If personalities were reversed, no chance Biden would have let Trump talk about divorce as a bad thing without pointing out Trump's history of them.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
27) Biden: "You can't fix the economy until you fix the COVID crisis" My guess is that doesn't go over well. Generally I'd guess Biden does better here when he blames it on Trump fucking up easy things (refusing to give out masks) than it being hopeless until after COVID.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
28) Trump claims he paid millions of taxes in 2016-2017. Is this income tax vs other taxes? Is he lying? Are the published numbers wrong?
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
29) "We've done things you've never even thought of" If I were Biden I'd respond with something like: "Yeah, like constant lying and running a country without a plan. I haven't ever thought to do those."
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
30) "You're the worst president America has ever had, come on" Wonder how that went over, probably well?
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
31) Why bother pandering to the state the debate is in? It appeals to 100 people in the audience. To the millions watching it's just startling us to remember they're physically somewhere instead of just being natively digital or something.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
34) "I think the country would be better served..." TBH Wallace is the best debater here.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
35) ok, c'mon, really no need to put "possible" in there. Don't think you get any points for a taking a jab at Abraham Lincoln.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
36) Really word-salad start to Biden's answer there. just listing social justice related terms.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
37) Biden finding his stride halfway through this question, way stronger at the beginning than the end
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
38) Really interesting to see Trump's approach here -- he's taking the left-wing one if anything, not the right-wing one. (Not that that reflects what he has thought or said or done.) FWIW I think Trump's approach here might be effective.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
39) Actually pretty seamless transition there by Trump--went from saying X to saying not X halfway through that answer and it basically worked.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
41) Really strong start to that answer -- "being asked to do things that were insane" I think that moving to call it "radical" is not a good call though--his winning move is to say "these trainings are just shitty, c'mon, everyone knows that" and sidestep larger questions.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
42) I think Trump's taking the right approach here--ignore Wallace's note that crime increases were the same in R and D cities, and just point out the large D examples. The truth might in some sense be similar to that, but much worse to say.
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SBF
@SBF_FTX
43) Biden doing a pretty good job so far on this question, really tricky one but he's done a good job on it.
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