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Replying to
true but almost none went under in the first day or two. which generally isn't that comforting, but at 40% APR 1 day matters a lot
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Heh yea so I would put the odds of it blowing up on day 1 at like 0.50% or something? IDK, maybe that ballpark. So it could! But odds are against it.
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But like I can't actually justify that, it's just a guess, and maybe you've read the code and are terrified ;P What I can actually say is just that I think that like comparing the daily interest rate to the daily blowing out rate is the right thing to do
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Any protocol. at least taleb had black scholes Merton Option pricing model (which was also based on false assumptions like independent and standard normally distributed price changes) but we have currently no model to quantify the risks involved in smart contracts defaulting.
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