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1) Risk is weird! It's hard to think about well. But it's really important to.

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Lost me at tweet 8

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Wtf is EV? Enterprise value? Electric vehicle? Exposure something? Earned value? Electron volt?

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Expected value (also called mean, average, etc.) Sum over all possibilities of (value of outcome * probability of outcome)

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This thread now makes 10,000x mores sense. Thank you.

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E(x) or expected x = Sum i = 1 to n, p(i)x(i)