Would you trade hashrate futures?
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is there some sort of hedging reason behind why any miner would use this or is it just pure speculation?
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Yup! Miners could use this to hedge their exposure to difficulty changes.
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Surely instrument like this one is needed for miners at least for partial mitigation of risks. Question - will be if there is enough genuine liquidity for it to be instrument for miners and not just speculative BTC proxy.
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Yeah it's a good question--I think we'd only launch it if we had enough interest/liquidity for it
don't you think that miners will be incentivized to manipulate the hashrate by shutting down or turning on ASICS according to the derivative position that they are holding?
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I think it prob wouldn't be economical.
If they shut off 1% for 2 weeks that would cost them about $1m. They'd need a $100m position with no impact to break even.
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